employee
Tula, Tula, Russian Federation
Tula, Tula, Russian Federation
Tula, Tula, Russian Federation
The purpose of the work was to assess the timing of the transition of the Russian economy and the economy of individual Russian regions to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. By constructing econometric models of economic dynamics, the timing of the beginning of the dominance of the fifth technoeconomic paradigm was estimated. The transition to the domination of the fifth techno-economic paradigm in the economy of the country can expected in 2040. The economy of individual regions has already made the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. In the economy of a large part of the regions, the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm can expected in many years and decades. Estimates of the expected timeframe for the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm obtained on basis of the assumption that the trends of economic development prevailing in 2001–2015 were preserved.
fifth techno-economic paradigm, dominance, terms, country, regions, econometric models.
Цель работы — оценка сроков перехода экономики России и экономики отдельных российских регионов к доминированию пятого технологического уклада, который доминирует в экономике развитых стран.
1. Basovskiy L.E., Basovskaya E.N. Postindustrial’nye uklady v jekonomike Rossii [Post-industrial structures in the Russian economy]. Moscow, INFRA-M Publ., 2017. 159 p.
2. Maevskiy V. Vvedenie v evolyutsionnuyu makroekonomiku [Introduction to evolutionary macroeconomics]. Moscow, Yaponiya segodnya Publ., 1997.
3. Hirooka M. Innovation Dynamism and Economic Growth. A Nonlinear Perspective. Cheltenham, UK; Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar. 2006.
4. Perez C. Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages Paperback. 2003.
5. Maddison A. Historical Statistics of the World Economy: 1-2008 AD. Available at: http//www.ggdc.net/maddison / Historical_
6. Basovskiy L.E. Vklad postindustrial’nykh ukladov v dushevoy VVP Rossii, otsenivaemyy po metodologii MVF [The contribution of postindustrial ways in the per capita GDP of Russia, estimated according to the methodology of the IMF]. Ekonomika [Economics]. 2016, V. 4, I. 6, pp. 13-15.
7. Basovskiy L.E. Vklad novykh postindustrial’nykh ukladov v dushevoy VVP evropeyskikh regionov Rossii [Contribution of new postindustrial modes to the per capita GDP of European regions of Russia]. Ekonomika [Economics]. 2016, V. 4, I. 6, pp. 4-6.
8. Levkina N.N. Vklad novykh postindustrial’nykh ukladov v dushevoy VRP regionov Ural’skogo federal’nogo okruga Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Contribution of new postindustrial structures in the per capita GRP of the regions of the Urals Federal District of the Russian Federation]. Ekonomika [Economics]. 2016, V. 4, I. 6, pp. 63-67.
9. Levkina N.N. O rezul’tatakh analiza vklada novykh postindustrial’nykh ukladov v dushevoy VRP regionov Sibirskogo federal’nogo okruga Rossiyskoy Federatsii [On the results of analysis of the contribution of new postindustrial structures in the per capita GRP of the regions of the Siberian Federal District of the Russian Federation]. Ekonomika [Economics]. 2017, V. 5, I. 1, pp. 22-26.
10. Shishkin A.N. Vklad novykh postindustrial’nykh ukladov v dushevoy VVP regionov Dal’nevostochnogo federal’nogo okruga [Contribution of new postindustrial structures in the per capita GDP of the regions of the Far Eastern Federal District]. Ekonomika [Economics]. 2016, V. 4, I. 6, pp. 63-67.