Voronezh, Russian Federation
employee
Voronezh, Voronezh, Russian Federation
Voronezh, Russian Federation
Voenno-uchebnogo nauchnogo centra Voenno-vozdushnyh sil Voenno-vozdushnoy akademii imeni professora N.E. Zhukovskogo i Yu.A. Gagarina
Voronezh, Russian Federation
student
Russian Federation
Dlya opredeleniya i prognozirovaniya veroyatnosti poyavleniya neblagopriyatnyh meteorologicheskih yavleniy i ih sochetaniy po raspredeleniyu veroyatnosti kazhdogo yavleniya byli provedeny kompleksnye eksperimental'nye issledovaniyavliyaniya pogodno-klimaticheskih usloviy razlichnyh regionov lesozagotovok na sostoyanie dorog, usloviya i rezhim dvizheniya transportnyh potokov. Kompleksnye eksperimental'nye issledovaniya zaklyuchalis' v vyyavlenii haraktera i predelov izmeneniya peremennyh parametrov v razlichnye periody goda i v razlichnyh pogodnyh usloviyah v zavisimosti ot tehnicheskogo urovnya dorog i ih inzhenernogo oborudovaniya, a takzhe izuchenii harakteristik transportnogo potoka v razlichnye vremena goda, vliyanii sostoyaniya dorog i usloviy pogody na rezhimy i bezopasnost' dvizheniya transportnyh potokov, izuchenii sovmestnogo vliyaniya dorozhnyh i meteorologicheskih usloviy, a takzhe parametrov transportnogo potoka na vyhodnye harakteristiki sistemy «dorozhnye usloviya – transportnyy potok» – skorost', bezopasnost' dvizheniya i propusknuyu sposobnost'. Na osnovanii provedennyh kompleksnyh eksperimental'nyh issledovaniy, opredelena veroyatnost' poyavleniya kazhdogo meteorologicheskogo faktora v otdel'nosti i vypolneny raschety matematicheskogo ozhidaniya meteorologicheskogo yavleniya v otdel'nosti i v sochetanii s drugimi meteoyavleniyami, opredeleno matematicheskoe ozhidanie veroyatnosti poyavleniya dvuh i bolee neblagopriyatnyh meteorologicheskih yavleniy, deystvuyuschih odnovremenno.Predlozhennaya metodika mozhet byt' ispol'zovana dlya opredeleniya i prognozirovaniya veroyatnosti poyavleniya neblagopriyatnyh meteorologicheskih yavleniy i ih sochetaniy po raspredeleniyu veroyatnosti kazhdogo yavleniya, deystvuyuschih odnovremenno i v sochetanii s drugimi meteoyavleniyami ot obschego kolichestva s vysokoy matematicheskoy tochnost'yu.
transpornyy potok, meteorologicheskie yavleniya, issledovaniya, dorozhnye usloviya, prognozirovanie
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6. Sposoby formalizacii metoda morfologicheskogo yaschikaSkrypnikov A.V., Chernyshova E.V., El' Iaali T., Shirinkin N.V. V sbornike: Prodovol'stvennaya bezopasnost': nauchnoe, kadrovoe i informacionnoe obespechenieKonferenciya priurochena k 85-letiyu VGUIT i provoditsya v ramkah realizacii V agropromyshlennogo kongressa i Associacii «Tehnologicheskaya platforma «Tehnologii pischevoy i pererabatyvayuschey promyshlennosti APK - produkty zdorovogo pitaniya». 2015. S. 444-451.
7. Povyshenie effektivnosti funkcionirovaniya avtomobil'nyh dorog lesnogo kompleksa [Tekst]: monografiya / Kozlov V.G., Smirnov M.Yu., Skrypnikov A.V., Dorohin S.V., Skvorcova T.V., Zhuravlev I.N. Yoshkar-Ola, 2016.
8. Teoriya veroyatnostey : uchebnik / E.S. Ventcel'. - 11-e izd., ster. - M. : KNORUS, 2010. - 664 s.
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10. Park K, Hwang Y, Seo S, Asce M and Seo H 2003 Journal of Construction Engineering and Management 129 (1) 25-31.
11. Skrypnikov A V, Dorokhin S V, Kozlov V G and Chernyshova E V 2017 Mathematical model of statistical identification of car transport informational provisionJournal of Engineering and Applied Sciences 2 511-515
