graduate student from 01.01.2016 until now
Moscow, Russian Federation
GRNTI 06.52 Экономическое развитие и рост. Прогнозир-ние и планирование экономики. Экономич. циклы и кризисы
OKSO 38.06.01 Экономика
BBK 65 Экономика. Экономические науки
BBK 6530 Экономика промышленности
TBK 7713 Макроэкономика
BISAC BUS068000 Development / Economic Development
BISAC BUS039000 Economics / Macroeconomics
BISAC BUS070050 Industries / Manufacturing
The article considers the indicator of development of the country – macroconstant of the country's development, calculated on the basis of gross domestic product per employed person, as well as the mesoconstant of industrial development, calculated on the basis of gross value added per employed person in the industry, which can be used as target indicators of development, as well as for the long-term forecast of development on macro-and meso levels. The article analyzes the relationship between industry and the economy - the absolute specific growth of GDP and GVA in industry, estimated the coefficients of the relationship between observations of the same period, tested the presence of delayed effect. To assess the relationship between industry and the economy, the annual data of the following countries were analyzed: Russia and four countries from the G7 group: the USA, Germany, France, the United Kingdom for the period 1991-2017. In the framework of macro-planning, the calculated values can be used as a benchmark at the meso- and micro-level.
gross domestic product, gross value added in industry, indicators of economic development, industry, economic and technological development
1. Yusim V., Bystrov A., Fialkovskiy D. (2015). Current macroeconomic development constants of technologically leading countries. Paper presented at Synthesis 2015 - International Scientific Conference of IT and Business-Related Research.
2. Govorin A.A. Aktual'nye celi i zadachi strategicheskogo razvitiya otechestvennoj industrii [Actual goals and objectives of the strategic development of the domestic industry]. Statistika i Ekonomika [Statistics and Economics]. 2017, V. 14, I. 3, pp. 41-47.
3. Kostin A.V., Varlamov A.V., Denisov I.V. Principy razrabotki effektivnoj strategii razvitiya promyshlennyh korporacij [The principles of developing an effective development strategy for industrial corporations]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo [Economics and Entrepreneurship]. 2016, I. 11-2 (76-2), pp. 820-824.
4. Yusim, V. N., Bystrov A. V., Fialkovskiy D. G. Current macroeconomic development constants of technologically leading countries // International scientific conference of IT and Business Related Research, Singidunum University, Belgrade. - 16-17 April 2015. - P. 475-480.
5. Kitov I. O., 2009. \"The Evolution Of Real GDP Per Capita In Developed Countries,\" Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 4(2(8)_ Sum), p.221-234.
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7. Meddison E. Kontury mirovoj ekonomiki v 1-2030 gg. Ocherki po makroekonomicheskoj istorii [The contours of the world economy in 1-2030. Essays on macroeconomic history]. Moscow: Institut Gajdara Publ., 2012. 584 p.
8. Fialkovskij D.G. Makroorientir razvitiya firm [Macro landmark development of firms]. Nauchnye issledovaniya i razrabotki. Ekonomika firmy [Research and development. Economics of the company]. 2014, V. 3, I. 1, pp. 63-68.
9. Yusim V.N., Denisov I.V., Levchenko K.G. Gipoteza sushchestvovaniya konstant makroekonomicheskogo razvitiya [The hypothesis of the existence of constants of macroeconomic development]. Innovacii: perspektivy, problemy, dostizheniya [Innovations: prospects, problems, achievements]. 2013, pp. 159-164.
10. Yusim V.N., Kostin A.V., Varlamov A.V., Chernicova K.A. Strategicheskie orientiry razvitiya rossijskoj ekonomiki [Strategic guidelines for the development of the Russian economy]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo [Economics and Entrepreneurship]. 2016, I. 10-3 (75-3), pp. 94-97.
11. Zhivotovskaya A.G. Obosnovanie principa i sistemy vzaimodejstviya promyshlennoj i ekonomicheskoj politik [Justification of the principle and system of interaction of industrial and economic policies]. Strategicheskoe planirovanie i razvitie predpriyatij. Materialy XX vserossijskogo simpoziuma. Moskva 9-10 aprelya 2019 g. [Strategic planning and enterprise development. Materials of the XX All-Russian Symposium. Moscow, April 9-10, 2019]. Moscow: CEMI RAN Publ., 2019, pp. 47-49.