THEORETICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL APPROACHES TO THE STUDY OF CYCLICAL DYNAMICS OF THE ECONOMY
Rubrics: MANAGEMENT
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The basic theoretical and methodological approaches to the study of the causes of cyclical fluctuations in economic development, which are divided into traditional and evolutionary-institutional ones, are considered. It is demonstrated that the evolutionary-institutional model of dynamics in the economy is the most important direction in the short and long term, since general trends in the dynamics of the structure of the global economy indicate the transition of developed countries to a post-industrial society. It is shown that the concept of technological modes is a theoretical continuation of the fundamental theory of "long waves" of N.D. Kondratiev. The evolutionary characteristics of technological modes are demonstrated. The theory of development of the social sector of economy in the post-industrial era by A.V. Tebekin as the development of the social sector of economy in the phases of overcoming and overcoming the global economic crisis of technological nature in the 2020-2030s within the framework of the sixth technological mode is considered. It was pointed out that the sixth technological mode is already forming an advanced reserve in cognitive technology, due to further acceleration of scientific and technological progress, as well as with the development of the seventh technological mode, expected in the 2070s, with a core based on cognitive technology. In addition, A.V. Tebekin considers the provisions of the cognitive school as a school based on the process of cognition, intellectual search as a methodological basis, the formation of an inducing vector of exit from the crisis of the 2020s.

Keywords:
theoretical and methodological approaches, technological structure, structural changes, cognitive technologies, socio-economic development, public sector of the economy
Text
Text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. Allayarova N.I. Teoreticheskie osnovy formirovaniya i realizacii eksportnogo potenciala gosudarstva: sovremennye metodologicheskie aspekty. // Zhurnal ekonomicheskih issledovaniy. 2022. T. 8. № 5. S. 3-28.

2. Glaz'ev S.Yu. Nanotehnologii kak klyuchevoy faktor novogo tehnologicheskogo uklada v ekonomike: monografiya / pod red. S.Yu. Glaz'eva, V.V. Haritonova. - M.: Trovant, 2009. - 304 s. ISBN 978-5-89513-173-2

3. Glaz'ev S.Yu. Mirovoy ekonomicheskiy krizis kak process smeny tehnologicheskih ukladov // Voprosy ekonomiki. 2009. №3. S.26-38.

4. Glaz'ev S.Yu. Teoriya dolgosrochnogo tehniko-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya. - M. VlaDar, 1993. - 310 s.

5. Glaz'ev S.Yu., D.S. L'vov, G.G. Fetisov. Evolyuciya tehniko-ekonomicheskih sistem: vozmozhnosti i granicy centralizovannogo regulirovaniya. - M.: Nauka, 1992. - 301 s.

6. Kondrat'ev N.D. Bol'shie cikly kon'yunktury i teoriya predvideniya // Izbrannye trudy. M.: Ekonomika, 2002. - 765 s.

7. Kondrat'ev N.D. Problemy ekonomicheskoy dinamiki. M.6 Ekonomika, 1989. - 202 s.

8. Krasil'nikov O.Yu. Problemy strukturnyh preobrazovaniy v postsovetskoy ekonomike // Stanovlenie rynka v postsovetskoy Rossii: Institucional'nyy analiz / Pod red. R.M. Nureeva. M. 2002. - 131 s.

9. L'vov D.S., Glaz'ev S.Yu. Teoreticheskie i prikladnye aspekty upravleniya nauchno-tehnicheskim progressom. // Ekonomiko-matematicheskie metody. 1987. 23(5). S.793-804.

10. Mitropol'skaya-Rodionova N.V., Tebekin A.V., Horeva A.V. Veroyatnye trendy transformacii soderzhaniya programmy bakalavriata po napravleniyu podgotovki «Menedzhment» v usloviyah postindustrial'noy ekonomiki. // Professional'noe obrazovanie v sovremennom mire. 2020. T. 10. №3. S. 3921-3937.

11. Rukinov M.V. Vektory tehnologicheskih transformaciy i perspektivy bezopasnogo razvitiya ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyah novogo tehnologicheskogo uklada. Izvestiya Sankt-Peterburgskogo gosudarstvennogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta. №1(121), 2020. S. 7-15.

12. Seryakov G.N., Tebekin A.V. Teoretiko-metodicheskie osnovy issledovaniya tehnologicheskih ukladov ekonomiki. Moskva: Rusayn, 2017. - 88 s.

13. Sytnik A.A. Organizacionno-ekonomicheskie aspekty razvitiya tehnologicheskogo uklada v formiruyuscheysya rynochnoy ekonomike (na primere Rossiyskoy Federacii): dis. dok. ekon. nauk. - Saratov, 2012. - 341 s.

14. Sytnik A.A. Sovremennye podhody k opredeleniyu tehnologicheskih ukladov // Vestnik Saratovskogo gosudarstvennogo social'no-ekonomicheskogo universiteta. 2011. №3(37). S. 41-43.

15. Tebekin A.V. Vybor podhoda k formirovaniyu strategii, obespechivayuschey vyhod iz global'nogo social'no-ekonomicheskogo krizisa 2020 goda / A.V. Tebekin, P.A. Tebekin, A.A, Egorova // Teoreticheskaya ekonomika. - 2020. №5(65). - S. 44-67.

16. Tebekin A.V. Issledovanie zakonomernostey razvitiya upravleniya v doindustrial'nuyu, industrial'nuyu i postindustrial'nuyu epohi. // Marketing i logistika. 2021. № 4 (36). S. 35-44.

17. Tebekin A.V. Perspektivy razvitiya nacional'noy ekonomiki v ramkah shestogo tehnologicheskogo uklada s uchetom uzhestocheniya zapadnyh sankciy. // Zhurnal issledovaniy po upravleniyu. 2022. №1. S. 17-37.

18. Tebekin A.V. Perspektivy razvitiya obschestvennogo sektora ekonomiki v usloviyah vyhoda iz global'nogo krizisa 2020-h godov: mirovoy i nacional'nyy aspekty. // Teoreticheskaya ekonomika. 2022. №1. S.79-93.

19. Tebekin A.V. Problemy razvitiya mirovoy ekonomiki v usloviyah makroekonomicheskoy nestabil'nosti //Epomen. - 2020. №41. S. 174-188.

20. Tebekin A.V., Mitropol'skaya-Rodionova N.V., Horeva A.V. Problemy ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti Rossii na ishode pervoy volny pandemii koronavirusa. // Vestnik Moskovskogo finansovo-yuridicheskogo universiteta. - 2020. №3. - S.7-15

21. Tebekin A.V., Mitropol'skaya-Rodionova N.V., Horeva A.V. Sinteticheskie vozmozhnosti instrumentov kognitivnoy shkoly menedzhmenta // Transportnoe delo Rossii. - 2022. №4. S. 71-75. - DOI 10-52375/20728689_2022_4_71.

22. Tebekin A.V., Petrov V.S. Analiz aktual'nyh problem, zamedlyayuschih vyhod nacional'noy ekonomiki iz krizisa i vliyayuschih na social'no-politicheskuyu situaciyu v strane // Zhurnal ekonomicheskih issledovaniy. 2020. №3. S. 18-31.

23. Tebekin A.V., Seryakov G.N. Tehnologicheskiy uklad kak osnova social'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya obschestva: innovacionnye aspekty issledovaniya 2014. №1-2. S.33-36.

24. Tebekin A.V., Tebekin P.A. Analiz trendov mirovogo nauchno-tehnologicheskogo razvitiya informacionno-kommunikacionnyh tehnologiy // Zhurnal tehnicheskih issledovaniy. 2022. №4. S.23-37.

25. Tebekin A.V., Tebekin P.A., Egorova A.A. Kartografirovanie kak ishodnyy freym k dorozhnoy karte poznaniya strategicheskih perspektiv razvitiya // Zhurnal ekonomicheskih issledovaniy. 2022. №3. S. 3-16.

26. Tebekin A.V., Tebekin P.A., Egorova A.A. Tehnologicheskie transformacii XXI veka kak induciruyuschiy vektor perehoda k novomu kachestvu proizvodstva // Teoreticheskaya ekonomika. 2021. №1(73). S. 42-53.

27. Tebekin A.V., Tihonova I.V. Vliyanie kognitivnoy shkoly na sovremennoe razvitie menedzhmenta // Innovacii i investicii. 2022. №10. S. 98-103.

28. Haustov Yu.A., Solov'ev B.A., Bocharov V.P. Innovacionnyy process v sisteme obschestvennyh otnosheniy. Voronezh. Izd-vo VGU. 2001. - 279 s.

29. Shumpeter Y. Teoriya ekonomicheskogo razvitiya. - M.: Progress, 1983. - 212 s.

30. Yakovec Yu.V. Zakonomernosti nauchno-tehnicheskogo progressa i ih planomernoe ispol'zovanie. - M. Ekonomika, 1984. - 239 s.

31. Yakovec Yu.V. Programma preobrazovaniya tehnologicheskoy struktury ekonomiki Rossii - M.: Mezhdunarodnyy fond N.D. Kondrat'eva. 1993. - 223 s.

32. Yakovec Yu.V. Uskorenie nauchno-tehnicheskogo progressa: teoriya i ekonomicheskiy mehanizm. - M.: Ekonomika, 1988. - 333 s.

33. Yakovec Yu.V. Cikly. Krizisy. Prognozy. - M., 1999. S. 114-115.

34. Yakovec Yu.V. Epohal'nye innovacii XXI veka. M.: ZAO «Izd-vo «ekonomika», 2004. - 439 s.

35. John Maynard Keynes. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, 1936. - 494 p.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?