Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time

Vladislav Grigoryev; Sergei Starodubtsev; Peter Gololobov

doi:10.12737/stp-53201911

UDC 52

MONITORING OF GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCES USING THE GLOBAL SURVEY METHOD IN REAL TIME Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time

АА Аа

Published in Solar-Terrestrial Physics · Volume 5, Issue 3 · Pages 93–97 · Rubric: Results of current research

DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/stp-53201911

Received: 18.09.2019 Accepted: 16.03.2026 Language of publication: ENG

Authors

Vladislav Grigoryev

ORCID

Sergei Starodubtsev

ORCID

Peter Gololobov

ORCID

Vladislav Grigoryev

Academic degree: candidate of physical and mathematical sciences

Yu.G. Shafer Institute of Cosmophysical Research and Aeronomy SB RAS Russian Federation · Yakutsk

ORCID

Sergei Starodubtsev

Academic degree: doctor of physical and mathematical sciences

Yu.G. Shafer Institute of Cosmophysical Research and Aeronomy SB RAS Russian Federation · Yakutsk

ORCID

Peter Gololobov

Yu.G. Shafer Institute of Cosmophysical Research and Aeronomy SB RAS Russian Federation · Yakutsk

ORCID

ABSTRACT

A method for forecasting geomagnetic storms using the realization of the global survey method in real time is presented. The method is based on data from the worldwide network of neutron monitors NMDB. Using this method, we analyze the behavior of components of three-dimensional angular distribution of cosmic rays in the interplanetary medium, which were due to the first two spherical harmonics, over the period from 2013 to 2018. We have established that the main parameters that respond to the arrival of geoeffective disturbances of the interplanetary medium at Earth are changes in amplitudes of zonal (north-south) components of cosmic ray distribution. In order to select effective criteria for identifying predictors of geomagnetic disturbances and their possible temporal variations, we have made a retrospective analysis of the relationship between behaviors of the above components and geomagnetic disturbances occurring during the period of interest.

KEYWORDS

cosmic rays, neutron monitor, global survey, geomagnetic storms, zonal components, predictors

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Editor-in-Chief

Geliy Zherebtsov

solater@iszf.irk.ru

Deputy Editor-in-Chief

Aleksandr Stepanov

stepanov@gaoran.ru

Deputy Editor-in-Chief

Alexander Potapov

potapov@iszf.irk.ru

Executive Secretary of Editorial Board

Natalia Polyushkina

npol@iszf.irk.ru

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GOST

Grigoryev V. G., Starodubtsev S. A., Gololobov P. Y. Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time // Solar-Terrestrial Physics. 2019. no. 3. pp. 93-97. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/stp-53201911. (Date of access 23.09.2026).

MLA

Vladislav Grigoryev, Starodubtsev S. A., Gololobov P. Y.. "Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time." Solar-Terrestrial Physics 5.3 (2019): 93-97. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/stp-53201911.

APA

Grigoryev V. G., Starodubtsev S. A., Gololobov P. Y. (2019). Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time. Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 5(3), 93-97. https://doi.org/10.12737/stp-53201911

Chicago

Vladislav Grigoryev, Starodubtsev S. A., Gololobov P. Y.. "Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time." Solar-Terrestrial Physics 5, no. 3 (2019): 93-97. https://doi.org/10.12737/stp-53201911.

WIKI

{{cite journal | author = Grigoryev V. G., Starodubtsev S. A., Gololobov P. Y. | title = Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time | journal = Solar-Terrestrial Physics | year = 2019 | volume = 5 | issue = 3 | pages = 93-97 | doi = 10.12737/stp-53201911 }}

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MONITORING OF GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCES USING THE GLOBAL SURVEY METHOD IN REAL TIME Monitoring of geomagnetic disturbances using the global survey method in real time

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