Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure

A. Tebekin; Yu. V. Malenkin

UDC

656

ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE FACTORS AFFECTING  THE DEVELOPMENT OF NATIONAL  TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure

АА Аа

Published in Journal of Technical Research · Pages 48–60 · Rubric: Transport systems

Received: 10.07.2025 Accepted: 16.09.2025 Published: 25.09.2025

Authors

A. Tebekin

Yu. V. Malenkin

A. Tebekin

Academic degree: doctor of economic sciences ; doctor of technical sciences

Science rang: professor

Moscow State Institute of International Relations (University) professor · department of management

Moscow State University. M.V. Lomonosov professor · Department of Socio-Cultural Design and Development of Territories · Russian Federation

Yu. V. Malenkin

Institute for professional development of executive employees and specialists Russian Federation

ABSTRACT

The relevance of this study is determined by the fact that, in today's economic environment,  the development of transport infrastructure is crucial for national economic development. Suffice  it to say that the term "transport infrastructure" appears approximately 500 times in the Transport Strategy of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030, with a forecast for the period up to 2035. Given ongoing climate change, considering its impact on the development of national transport infrastructure is crucial, which determined the choice of a highly relevant research topic. The aim  of the presented study is to analyze climate change factors influencing the development of national transport infrastructure in order to improve the efficiency of the latter’s development by taking into account the nature and degree of influence of the former. The scientific novelty of the study lies  in the development of a neural network model for analyzing the impact of climatic factors on transport infrastructure. This model includes: the input neural network layer—the influencing climatic factors (including air temperature; precipitation; permafrost characteristics and area; desert and semi-desert characteristics and area; and wind); the hidden neural network layer—the correlation relationships between the influencing climatic factors; and the output neural network layer—the response  of various transport infrastructure facilities to climatic impacts. The practical significance  of the obtained results lies in their potential use in developing models describing the multifactorial impact of climate change on the development of national transport infrastructure.

KEYWORDS

factor analysis, climate change, impact on development, national transport infrastructure

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Otvetstvennyy redaktor

Elena Titova

titova_en@infra-m.ru

chief editor

Alexey Tebekin

tebekin@gmail.com

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Tebekin A. V., Malenkin Y. V. Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure // Journal of Technical Research. 2025. no. 3. pp. 48-60. (Date of access 13.09.2026).

MLA

A. Tebekin, Malenkin Y. V.. "Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure." Journal of Technical Research 11.3 (2025): 48-60.

APA

Tebekin A. V., Malenkin Y. V. (2025). Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure. Journal of Technical Research, 11(3), 48-60.

Chicago

A. Tebekin, Malenkin Y. V.. "Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure." Journal of Technical Research 11, no. 3 (2025): 48-60.

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{{cite journal | author = Tebekin A. V., Malenkin Y. V. | title = Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure | journal = Journal of Technical Research | year = 2025 | volume = 11 | issue = 3 | pages = 48-60 }}

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ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE FACTORS AFFECTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF NATIONAL TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE Analysis of climate change factors affecting the development of national transport infrastructure

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ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE FACTORS AFFECTING  THE DEVELOPMENT OF NATIONAL  TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE Analysis of climate change factors affecting  the development of national  transport infrastructure