THE POSITIONS OF RUSSIA AND THE UNITED STATES ON NUCLEAR SECURITY ISSUES AND THE PROSPECTS FOR NEW AGREEMENTS
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
In the modern complex system of international relations, in a situation of escalating confrontation between Russia and the United States, increasing tension in relations between Western countries and the "Global South", arms control, primarily nuclear, as well as non-proliferation of nuclear weapons, continues to be one of the most important areas of Russian foreign and defense policy. The Russian Federation pays priority attention to strengthening and developing the system of international treaties in the fields of strategic security and arms control. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to consider the prospects for one of the key aspects of the Russian-American agreements - nuclear arms control and the achievement of sustainable strategic stability. This led to the active use of such methods as analysis and synthesis of data on the current state of nuclear strategic security, a historical approach that identifies the previous context of agreements, as well as a comparative analysis focused on comparing the basic approaches, interests, goals and priorities of the Russian and American sides. Based on foreign policy imperatives, including consolidating Russia's role as a guarantor of international stability and arms control, the authors propose a non-standard scenario for restoring the viability of the key START Treaty of 2010. The article suggests the outlines of possible concrete solutions and potential elements of agreements that can become the basic topic for the resumption of bilateral consultations on strategic stability and an integral part of the new agreement. The authors conclude that reaching mutually acceptable agreements on this topical issue will have a positive impact on reducing the military threat and reducing the risks of unleashing a nuclear conflict, which meets the strategic interests of Russian national security and global stability.

Keywords:
Russia, the USA, the West, NATO, DSNV, negotiations, nuclear deterrence, strategic stability, global security
Text
Text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. Antonov A.I. Kontrol\' nadvooruzheniyami: istoriya, sostoyanie, perspektivy [Control over arms: history, state, prospects]. M., Rosspan, PIR Center Publ., 2012, 245 p.

2. Arbatov A.G. Vooruzheniya i diplomatiya [Armaments and diplomacy]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya [World economy and international relationsl], 2020, Vol. 64, I. 6, pp. 9-23.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2020-64-6-9-23; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/WMXYJO

3. Arbatov A.G. Grezy i real\'nosti kontrolya nad vooruzheniyami [Dreams and realities of arms control] Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya [World economy and international relationsl], 2019, Vol. 63, I. 11, pp. 5-16.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2019-63-1-5-17; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/YWWRFR

4. Arbatov A.G. Desyat\' aporiy nashego vremeni. Teoriya i praktika yadernogo sderzhivaniya [Ten aporias of our time. Theory and practice of nuclear deterrence], Polis. Politicheskie issledovaniya [Polis. Political Studies], 2020. I. 4, pp. 88-111.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2021.04.08; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/CDJNLC

5. Batyuk V.I. Novaya rossiysko-amerikanskaya gonka yadernykh vooruzheniy [The new Russian-American nuclear arms race]. SShA i Kanada: ekonomika, politika, kul\'tura [USA and Canada: economics, politics, culture], 2020, Vol. 50, I. 2, pp. 78-96.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.31857/S268667300008242-6; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/ZDSKLM

6. Bogdanov K.V. Strategicheskaya stabil\'nost\': dinamika i faktory transformatsii [Strategic stability: dynamics and transformation factors]. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 25: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya i mirovaya politika [Bulletin of the Moscow University. Series 25: International Relations and World Politics], 2022, Vol. 14, I. 4, pp. 7-47.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.48015/2076-7404-2022-14-4-7-47; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/NYMFXJ

7. Bogdanov K.V. Faktor PRO v Evrope: protivorechiya i krizisrezhimovkontrolya nad vooruzheniyam [Factor of missile DEFENSE in Europe: contradictions and crisis of arms control regimes]. Evropeyskay abezopasnost\': sobytiya, otsenki, prognozy [European security: events, estimates, forecasts], 2018, I. 50 (66), pp. 5-8.

8. Gromyko A.A. Pamyatnoe: V 2 kn. Kn. 2. [Memorable: In 2 vol. Vol. 2]. M., Politizdat Publ., 1990, 557 p.

9. Dvorkin V.Z. Vliyanie sistem PRO na strategicheskuyu stabil\'nost\' i perspektivy yadernogo razoruzheniya [The impact of missile defense systems on strategic stability and prospects for nuclear disarmament], Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya [World economy and international relationsl], 2019, Vol. 63, I. 8, pp. 5-22.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2019-63-8-5-12; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/IJOQGO

10. Dvorkin V.Z. Transformatsiya strategicheskoy stabil\'nosti [Transformation of strategic stability], Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya [World economy and international relationsl], 2013, I. 8, pp. 22-28.; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/NPHOIP

11. Kokoshin A.A. Strategicheskaya stabil\'nost\' v usloviyakh kriticheskogo obostreniya mezhdunarodnoy obstanovki [Strategic stability in the conditions of critical aggravation of the international situation], Polis. Politicheskie issledovaniya [Polis. Political research], 2018, I. 4, pp. 7-21.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2018.04.02; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/XTUVBR

12. Matyukhin A.V. Sanktsii – instrument mirovoy politiki (Monografiya L.E. Grishaevoy «Pul\'s sanktsiy: rossiyskiy istoricheskiy aspekt») [Sanctions are an instrument of world politics (L.E. Grishaeva\'s monograph \"Pulse of Sanctions: the Russian historical aspect\")], Zhurnal politicheskikh issledovaniy [Journal of Political Research], 2021, V. 5, I. 2, pp. 124-129.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2021-5-2-124-129; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/SANMKS

13. Mizin V.I., Sevost\'yanov P. I., Matyukhin A.V. «Dialektika» evropeyskogo razoruzheniya: uroki i perspektivy [\"Dialectics\" of European disarmament: lessons and prospects], Zhurnal politicheskikh issledovaniy [Journal of Political Research], 2020, V. 4, I. 4, pp. 39-48.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2020-39-48; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/RLNDAY

14. Mizin V.I., Sevost\'yanov P.I., Matyukhin A.V. Osnovnye shagi na puti k kontrolyu za vooruzheniyami v Evrope [The main steps towards arms control in Europe], Zhurnal politicheskikh issledovaniy [Journal of Political Research], 2022, V. 6, I. 1, pp. 69-84.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2022-6-1-69-84; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/AEIGRP

15. Mizin V.I., Sevost\'yanov P.I., Matyukhin A.V. Rossiya v OON: imperativy vektorov razoruzheniya [Russia in the UN: imperatives of disarmament vectors], Zhurnal politicheskikh issledovaniy [Journal of Political Research], 2020, V. 4, I. 4, pp. 63-73.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2020-63-73; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/OXGZEX

16. Oznobishchev S.K. Amerikanskie (russkie) gorki evropeyskoy bezopasnosti [American (Russian) slides of European security], Aktual\'nye problemy Evropy [Actual problems of Europe], 2020, I. 3 (107), pp. 16-50.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.31249/ape/2020.03.02; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/AXDRKH

17. Sevostyanov P.I., Davydova Yu.A., Matyukhin A.V. Voenno-politicheskie strategii SShA i Kanady v Arktike [Military and political strategies of the USA and Canada in the Arctic], Zhurnal politicheskih issledovanij [Journal of Politic Research]. 2020, V. 4, I. 3, pp. 63-69.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2020-63-69; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/ZHNYLX

18. Sokol\'shik L., Suslov D. Perspektivy otnosheniy Rossii i SShA v pravlenii Dzh. Baydena: ideologicheskie i politicheskie izmereniya [Prospects of relations between Russia and the United States in the Board of J. Biden: Ideological and political dimensions], Mezhdunarodnye protsessy [International processes], 2022, V. 20, I. 1 (68), pp. 76-86.

19. Acton J. Escalation through entanglement: How the vulnerability of command-and-control systems raises the risks of an inadvertent nuclear war [Escalation through entanglement: How the vulnerability of command-and-control systems raises the risks of an inadvertent nuclear war], International security [International security], 2018, I. 43 (1), pp. 56-99.

20. Bidgood S. What We Talk About When We Talk About US-Russia Strategic Stability [What We Talk About When We Talk About US-Russia Strategic Stability], Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament [Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament], 2023. I. 1, pp. 9-27. Kulesa L. The role of arms control in future European security [The role of arms control in future European security], Security and Human Rights [Security and Human Rights], 2014, I. 25(2), pp. 221-234.; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2023.2221486; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/PURHQO

21. Charap S. Strategic Sderzhivanie: Understanding Contemporary Russian Approaches to ‘Deterrence’ [Strategic Sderzhivanie: Understanding Contemporary Russian Approaches to ‘Deterrence], Marshall Center Security Insight [Marshall Center Security Insight], 2020, I. 9, pp. 28-31.

22. Gottemoeller R. Rethinking Nuclear Arms Control [Rethinking Nuclear Arms Control], Marshall Center Security Insight [Marshall Center Security Insight], 2020, Vol. 43, I. 3, pp. 139-159.

23. Kahn H. On Escalation: Metaphors and Scenarios [On Escalation: Metaphors and Scenarios], New York: Praeger Publ., 1965, 308 p.

24. Kulesa L. The role of arms control in future European security [The role of arms control in future European security], Security and Human Rights [Security and Human Rights], 2014, I. 25(2), pp. 221-234.

25. McNamara R. The Essence of Security: Reflections in Office [The Essence of Security: Reflections in Office], New York: Harper&Row Publ., 1968, 176 p.

26. Perry W.J. My Journey at the Nuclear Brink [My Journey at the Nuclear Brink], Stanford California Press Publ., 2015, 276 p.

27. Pifer S. The US and Russia must re-assess their strategic relations in a world without New START [The US and Russia must re-assess their strategic relations in a world without New START], Bulletin if Atomic Scientist [Bulletin if Atomic Scientist], 2023. June 13.

28. Rogers J., Korda M., Kristensen H. Nuclear Notebook: The long view-Strategic arms control after the New START Treaty [Nuclear Notebook: The long view-Strategic arms control after the New START Treaty], Bulletin if Atomic Scientist [Bulletin if Atomic Scientist], 2022, November 9, pp. 347-368.

29. Rusten L., Melamed M. The Three-Competitor Future: US Arms Control With Russia and China [The Three-Competitor Future: US Arms Control With Russia and China], Arms Control Today [Arms Control Today], 2023. Vol. 53, №. 2. pp. 6-13.

30. Waltz K. Theory of International Politics [Theory of International Politics], Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wes-ley Publ., 1979, 251 p.

31. Wohlstetter A. The Delicate Balance of Terror [The Delicate Balance of Terror], Foreign Affairs [Foreign Affairs], 1959, Vol. 37. I. 2. pp. 211-234.

32. Woolf A. Promoting Nuclear Disarmament through Bilateral Arms Control: Will New START Extension Pave the Path to Disarmament? [Promoting Nuclear Disarmament through Bilateral Arms Control: Will New START Extension Pave the Path to Disarmament?], Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament [Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament], 2021, I. 4, pp. 309-320.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?